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File photo dated 29/09/17 of the Vanguard-class nuclear deterrent submarine HMS Vengeance at HM Naval Base Clyde, Faslane. The UK's armed forces would likely remain in Scotland for at least 20 years if the country became independent, the deputy director of a leading defence think tank has said. Issue date: Sunday March 17, 2024. (KEYSTONE/PRESS ASSOCIATION IMAGES/Jane Barlow)